Operating Effectively in Japan’s Renewed Market
For international investment managers, Japanese equities experienced a sharp pivot from an occasional tactical play to a strategic allocation. Between 2020 and 2025, Japan bounced back from a long stretch of deflation, corporate governance uncertainties, and problematic earnings and shareholder returns that deterred most foreign flows.
But in today’s market climate, the investment case for international managers is compelling, offering potential for stronger earnings and returns. However, the operating model of the Japanese market has notable effects. It offers peculiarities that affect accruals, cash, and settlement. Managers need a practical playbook for integrating Japan into global or regional mandates.
This environment offers several unique characteristics, including:
- Dividend guidance that can change after the ex-date
- Long gaps between ex-date and pay date
- Japanese-only corporate action notices and disclosures
- Custody funding and FX nuances
- T+2 settlement across multi-region books (alongside shorter-settling instruments elsewhere)
Understanding those mechanics with a practical operating playbook in mind can help international managers scale Japanese exposure with fewer surprises and operational wrinkles.
Unpacking the backdrop
Between 2020 and 2025, Japan experienced three simultaneous forces: the end of deflation, the success of governance reforms, and a marked change in corporate behavior.
- The Nikkei 225 surpassed its 1989 peak in 2024 and maintained strength into 2025, supported by steady earnings growth and consistent foreign inflows.i
- 785 Tokyo Stock Exchange companies (out of ~4,000 listed names) authorized buybacks in early 2025, a ~20% year-on-year increase.ii
- Under Tokyo Stock Exchange 2023 reforms, prime market companies now face ‘comply-or-explain’ mandates for capital efficiency and stricter expectations around cross-shareholdings and board independence.iii
- More than 60% of Japanese listed firms carry return on equity of 10% or less, highlighting potential upside.iv
Market mechanics
Market potential aside, the quality of outcomes for specific global managers also hinges on operational readiness. Firms must determine how to manage Japan’s dividend cycles, settlement timelines, and corporate actions within a global portfolio framework, many aspects of which do not fully align with worldwide norms.
Dividend and disclosure dynamics
Dividend guidance works differently in Japan. Issuers typically provide forward guidance at the start of their fiscal year, which in most cases runs from April through March. Most companies pay dividends semiannually, although some may have an annual cycle. Few pay quarterly.
In addition, the figures announced by issuers serve as formal guidance rather than final commitments. This sequencing allows them to change either shortly before or, in some cases, after the ex-date once the board or annual meeting approves the actual payout. As a result, holders of record can receive a revised dividend amount even after the stock has gone ex-dividend.
For operations and accounting teams, this creates a small but meaningful exposure: Accruals, cash forecasts, and P&L may all shift between the ex-date and the pay date. They must also track the final confirmation through multiple data sources.
Corporate actions (CA) present challenges, too. Companies often release CA notices only in Japanese, particularly for complex restructurings, spin-offs, or mergers. Accurate interpretation of these notices affects entitlement calculations, withholding-tax treatment, and the timing of postings — all of which must reconcile precisely across systems.
Since many managers prefer to validate primary documents rather than rely on custodian summaries, these notices require reliable translation support and event-specific expertise. While AI may eventually resolve this concern, translations from Japanese to English currently risk missing critical information on the financial impacts that an investment manager needs.
Liquidity and cash management
The gap between the ex-date and pay date in Japan is unusually long compared to other markets, often two months or more. Typically, a spring dividend cycle begins with a late-March ex-date and concludes with payment in early June, while the autumn cycle usually spans from late September to early December. During that interval, revisions or adjustments can still occur until the pay date. For treasury and performance teams, this uncertainty requires additional buffer capital and coordination to ensure that cash projections, collateral management, and investor statements remain aligned as the dividend timeline unfolds.
Funding, FX, and settlement sequencing
Funding and foreign exchange considerations can also influence efficiency for some investors. Some hedge funds and institutional investors operate in Japan through custody accounts rather than prime-brokerage models. For funds whose base currency is in USD or EUR, converting into JPY at the right time becomes critical to meet settlement obligations and dividend payments. Clear pre-funding protocols, intraday monitoring, and explicit ownership between portfolio, treasury, and operations teams help prevent settlement delays or short-funding events.
Finally, settlement cadence remains distinct. Japanese equities continue to settle on a T+2 basis, while other major markets are migrating to T+1 or even same-day settlement for specific instruments. As portfolios span multiple time zones and settlement windows, coordinating cash and collateral across regions becomes a daily operational exercise. Maintaining a unified calendar of market holidays, cutoff times, and margin usage across venues is essential to keep everything synchronized.
Playbook considerations
Japan’s unique features do not represent barriers, however. They create technical and operational requirements. Managers who anticipate them with the right data flows and operational controls can integrate Japan into their global portfolios alongside any other major market.
The following playbook summarizes the key practices global managers use to handle Japanese positions efficiently. It focuses on five recurring control areas where disciplined process design removes most of the friction. When these practices are embedded before portfolio size or trading activity scales, they minimize rework, reconciliation noise, and liquidity strain. They allow Japanese positions or mandates to cooperate predictably, with auditability, and fully synchronized with global workflows.
Turning understanding into an advantage
Japan’s renewed equity market offers genuine strategic potential. The firms that will capture Japan's structural opportunity will be those whose operations teams can process a post-ex dividend revision, translate a complex spin-off notice, and fund T+2 settlement across three continents without breaking stride. That operational edge is increasing what generates alpha from Japanese equities.
Authored By
Premal Desai
Premal Desai is a Senior Vice President overseeing the product team in India for Arcesium. Prior to his current role, Premal was co-head of Arcesium’s Financial Operations group in India.
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[i] Macrotrends, 2025. https://www.macrotrends.net/2593/nikkei-225-index-historical-chart-data
[ii] W1M, June 2025. https://www.w1m.com/insights/the-bull-case-for-japanese-equities/
[iii] TSE, June 2025. https://www.fsa.go.jp/en/refer/councils/follow-up/material/20250602-07.pdf
[iv] Quick, January 2025. https://corporate.quick.co.jp/en/japanmarketsview/equity/is-corporate-reform-further-progressing-in-2025-roe-improvement-as-key/
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