The current economic environment is marked by a high degree of uncertainty, driven in part by rapidly changing policies of the current United States administration. As fiscal, geopolitical and regulatory dynamics continue to shift, we anticipate unpredictability to prevail over the medium term.

During periods of transition, it is common for investors to reallocate their portfolios toward short-duration, highly liquid assets — most notably cash and cash equivalent assets — and adopt a more forward-looking approach to risk management and strategic planning.

Moreover, we believe that the current strength of economic data, the interest rate environment and the reaction function of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) make cash assets attractive, especially relative to prior periods of elevated uncertainty when interest rates were lower.

Cash assets: A safe harbor in volatile markets

The combination of a resilient labor market and inflation that remains above the Fed’s target suggests that rate policy continues to be conducive for cash assets as the front of the yield curve remains inverted.

Hard data in the US remain strong. The Fed continues to categorize both the labor market and economic growth as “solid,” while acknowledging that inflation remains elevated.¹ Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) measures indicate that the risks are leaning toward higher inflation and unemployment, and lower growth.² This underscores the complexity of the current environment, in which the Fed is navigating a landscape marked by a period of still-strong data, heightened uncertainty and atypical degrees of risk on both sides of its dual mandate.

For investors, barring a liquidity or credit event, the Fed will have limited capacity to preemptively adjust policy. As asset allocators grapple with these constraints, they must continue to navigate an environment where both risks to extending duration remain and term premiums are rising. These factors may make cash and cash equivalent assets an attractive proposition.

Optimizing cash assets with money market funds

For investors seeking a strategic edge in cash management featuring liquidity, security and professional oversight, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)-registered, Rule 2a-7 compliant government money market funds may stand out as a premier solution, particularly when managed by a firm with scale and experience. The confidence and clarity demonstrated by portfolio managers with deep money market expertise are paramount for institutional investors, especially during fluctuating market environments where investors need broad liquidity access to help them respond to market events quickly.

Government money market funds offer a blend of safety, same-day liquidity at par and regulatory confidence while investing exclusively in US Treasury and Government Agency securities. Asset allocators can expect a conservative, high-quality approach that helps mitigate credit and market risks. Also, they eliminate single name deposit risk, a lesson underscored during the mini-banking crisis of March 2023, when reliance on uninsured bank deposits left some investors unexpectedly exposed. In today's global landscape, the possibility of sanctions further emphasizes the critical need for diversification and liquidity in cash management strategies.

Beyond credit and liquidity benefits, money market funds may also help reduce operational burdens. Direct investment in short-term securities, such as Treasury bills, can be time-consuming and complex — requiring trade execution, settlement oversight and ongoing monitoring. For organizations managing multiple strategies, these manual processes can introduce disruptions and additional costs, diverting efforts from processes that generate alpha.

Additionally, risks such as debt ceiling uncertainty add further complexity to managing short-term investments. Utilizing money market funds — which qualify as unencumbered cash equivalents for hedge funds³ — helps preserve capital while ensuring seamless liquidity. This allows for rapid response to market opportunities and redemption needs without compromising portfolio stability, unlike longer-dated instruments. Due to ongoing market volatility, varying rates and increased opportunity costs, hedge funds should consider treating cash as an asset class rather than merely a balance at the beginning or end of the day.

Investors also require an efficient way to manage their cash assets and equivalents that provides a holistic view of their cash portfolio and automates the liquidity process. State Street’s Fund Connect® platform is a multicurrency cash and liquidity management solution that connects investors to over 300 money market products managed by leading fund providers across nine currencies. As a S&P AA-rated⁴ global systemically important bank⁵, investors also benefit from State Street’s scale, resources and infrastructure.

Unlocking financial efficiency with Fund Connect

While money market funds typically qualify as unencumbered cash equivalents with the benefit from ready accessibility and lower credit risk, being able to exert full operational control in monitoring your unencumbered cash portfolio is crucial. Banks often tailor their sweep offerings to only a subset of the broader money market fund universe, and counterparty credit risk can become a concern for investors due to ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Working in partnership, Fund Connect and Arcesium deliver an integrated money market fund solution that provides a holistic view of your cash portfolio, centralizes your cash investments’ execution and integrates the data into your overall liquidity monitoring infrastructure. With a one-stop system, treasurers can seamlessly trade in and out of lower-yielding products and direct capital where it is efficiently deployed.

Money market funds may offer companies a strategic advantage by providing liquidity, security and regulatory assurance. Companies investing in money market funds can swiftly respond to market opportunities and stay ahead in today's dynamic financial landscape.

Contact us to learn more about our money market fund solution.

Sources

^1. June 18^th 2025 FOMC meeting; https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250319a.htm

^2. June 18^th 2025 FOMC meeting; https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20250618.pdf

^3. The information provided does not take into account any particular investment objectives, strategies, investment horizon or tax status.

^4. As of April 2025.

^5.Source: Financial Stability Board as of November 2024.

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Dean Murphy